Horses for Courses

Winning the renewables race is all about location, according to Richard Lum, Co-CIO, Victory Hill Capital Partners.

The transition to a low-carbon economy is creating a once-in-a-generation dislocation in energy markets, fundamentally bringing the longevity of current energy infrastructure into question. For example, whereas energy systems designed for oil, coal and gas were predicated on centralised power generation, there is now a burgeoning need to upgrade or reform power grids to a distributed model, accommodating the growth of renewable energy sources as we progress towards net zero goals.

This gap between legacy energy infrastructure and a sustainable, low-carbon future provides an opportunity for astute investors. But capitalising upon uncertainties like supply security and price volatility at peak times is not as simple as swapping every coal-powered energy plant for a wind farm. Globally, the energy transition is taking place at varying speeds in different locations, leading to profound differences in how renewables assets perform.

These differences are partly due to inherent regional characteristics that render some methods of clean energy generation more effective than others depending on where you are. For instance, France’s robust nuclear power infrastructure, supported by strong policy and regulation, has lessened the demand for new sources of renewable energy in its electricity grid. Or China, where expansive land mass and suitable climate conditions have allowed renewables developers to build 2,919GW of solar capacity.

But identifying beneficial investment opportunities requires more than locating wind farm projects where there is wind, and solar fields where there is sun, or ‘copying and pasting’ one lucrative project framework into regions with physical and regulatory similarities.

The value drivers are local

While a broadbrush approach to green infrastructure investment might go some way towards meeting global energy needs, the drivers of value are inherently local. Taking a broad approach could come at the cost of investor returns, ultimately jeopardising the long-term financing prospects for the transition. Investors will need to evaluate each project at a granular level, assessing its merits in consideration of its location by looking at everything from weather, geography, politics and regulation, to the stage of the energy transition journey that the country is currently in.

In other words, varying market conditions mean that to fruitfully participate in transition projects globally, investors must account for the fact that renewable technology will perform differently in different places, with direct knock-on effects on performance and investor returns.

A good example

UBS AM, Planet Tracker Seek to Mitigate Nature Risks

New report highlights problems faced by investors with the longevity of solar and wind assets, and potential impacts on habitats.

UBS Asset Management (AM) and Planet Tracker have joined their efforts to support investors providing finance for renewable energy solutions and mitigate harms to nature. In a new report, they provided a guide for industry practitioners on how best to integrate nature when looking at solutions for the energy transition…

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Recovery blueprint highlights opportunity to capitalise on renewable assets to bolster agriculture and food demand. Nature restoration is essential to addressing biodiversity and climate-related risks to finance, ecosystems and human health, research by investment manager Foresight has highlighted. Released last week, the Nature Recovery Blueprint offers practical guidance to land…

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Who’s Building the Most Solar Energy?

Published

17 seconds ago

on

May 5, 2024

See this visualization first on the Voronoi app.

Who’s Building the Most Solar Energy?

This was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on iOS or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources.

In 2023, solar energy accounted for three-quarters of renewable capacity additions worldwide. Most of this growth occurred in Asia, the EU, and the U.S., continuing a trend observed over the past decade.

In this graphic, we illustrate the rise in installed solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity in China, the EU, and the U.S. between 2010 and 2022, measured in gigawatts (GW). Bruegel compiled the data..

Chinese Dominance

As of 2022, China’s total installed capacity stands at 393 GW, nearly double that of the EU’s 205 GW and surpassing the USA’s total of 113 GW by more than threefold in absolute terms.

Installed solar
capacity (GW)ChinaEU27U.S. 2022393.0205.5113.0 2021307.0162.795.4 2020254.0136.976.4 2019205.0120.161.6 2018175.3104.052.0 2017130.896.243.8 201677.891.535.4 201543.687.724.2 201428.483.618.1 201317.879.713.3 20126.771.18.6 20113.153.35.6 20101.030.63.4

Since 2017, China has shown a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 25% in installed PV capacity, while the USA has seen a CAGR of 21%, and the EU of 16%.

Additionally, China dominates the production of solar power components, currently controlling around 80% of the world’s solar panel supply chain.

In 2022, China’s solar industry employed 2.76 million individuals, with manufacturing roles representing approximately 1.8 million and the remaining 918,000 jobs in construction, installation, and operations and maintenance.

The EU industry employed 648,000 individuals, while the U.S. reached 264,000 jobs.

According to the IEA, China accounts for almost 60% of new renewable capacity expected to become operational globally by 2028.

Despite the phasing out of national subsidies in 2020 and 2021, deployment of solar PV in China is accelerating. The country is expected to reach its national 2030 target for wind and solar PV installations in 2024, six years ahead of schedule.