“Move on From ESG,” Urges Former BlackRock Exec

Paul Bodnar says the backlash against the controversial moniker in the US means it’s time to think beyond the concept.

Sustainable investing has outgrown the catch-all ‘ESG’ label and the financial world should move beyond it, according to former BlackRock global head of sustainable investing Paul Bodnar. That does not mean ditching sustainable investment altogether, as ESG’s political opponents in the US might wish, said Bodnar, who now works for…

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South Korea’s Gas Gamble Risks Stranded Assets

IEEFA Energy Finance Specialist Michelle Kim explains why the country’s East Sea gas development will not strengthen its energy security.

South Korea’s Yoon Suk-yeol administration recently announced the exploratory drilling of potentially massive oil and gas reserves in the East Sea, estimated to hold up to 14 billion barrels of oil and gas. This project aims to address the country’s natural gas demand for 29 years and oil demand for four years.

The government will launch the project, which costs around ₩100 billion (US$73 million), by the end of the year, with initial results expected in the first half of 2025. However, as South Korea’s natural gas demand declines, large oil and gas developments in the East Sea could become stranded assets due to the country’s accelerating decarbonisation efforts.

In the long term, the transition to clean energy will better support national energy security and sustainability rather than an overreliance on fossil fuels.

Declining gas demand amid energy transition

By the time the East Sea gas field becomes commercially operational around 2035, South Korea’s natural gas demand will have significantly decreased due to the energy transition. The country’s natural gas demand is already declining, falling 4.9% in 2023 due to higher nuclear and renewable power generation and reduced city gas demand, impacted by high import costs.

Given South Korea’s strengthened decarbonisation targets, this trend will persist in the coming years. The recent 11th Basic Plan for Long-Term Electricity Supply and Demand (BPLE) implementation guideline indicated that the share of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the power mix will decline to 11.1% by 2038, a substantial drop from 26.8% in 2023.

South Korea’s Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy also estimates that natural gas demand will decline to 37.66 million metric tons per annum (MTPA) by 2036, with an average annual decline of 1.38%, due to a shrinking population and slowing economic growth rates.

In addition, the global natural gas market is expected to face an oversupply from 2026 onwards, driven by massive expansions from the US and Qatar. The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA) estimates that the world’s total nameplate liquefaction capacity could reach 666.5 MTPA by 2028. This suggests that cheap natural gas supply will be available in the market, with existing contracts and purchases from the glutted spot market able to cover future gas needs.

Growing stranded asset risks

Investing taxpayers’ money

Australia’s Climate Wars Return to Investor Dismay

Division between the country’s main political parties has reopened, with a new fight emerging over 2030 emissions targets.

Investors have condemned an announcement by Australia’s opposition leader, Peter Dutton, that he would abandon the nation’s legally-binding 2030 emissions targets if he forms its next government. The surprise move, which critics say would force Australia out of the Paris Agreement and stall investment in renewable energy, re-ignites a decades-old…

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From Co-benefits to Core Benefits

Social impacts on local communities can make or break carbon sequestration projects. 

The prime purpose of voluntary carbon markets (VCMs) is to limit climate change, by allocating capital to projects that offset, remove or avoid emissions through the generation and sale of credits.  Despite controversies, VCMs are growing. A 2023 survey of businesses across the US, UK and Europe found that 89%…

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Investors Urged to Intervene in EU Meat Lobby 

Meat and dairy companies are mimicking fossil fuel sector tactics to stall Europe’s climate policy, putting its emissions targets at risk, InfluenceMap finds.

Climate-conscious asset owners should ramp up their engagement with Europe’s food producers, after new research revealed the meat and dairy sector had lobbied successfully against a raft of EU climate policies, according to the think tank behind the study. InfluenceMap, a non-profit that monitors climate lobbying activities, found meat and dairy industry…

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Asset Owners Call for Climate Clubs 

Green-minded nations should club together to punish countries with weak climate policies and encourage carbon pricing, says NZAOA. 

A UN-affiliated group of big investors has called on climate-conscious governments around the world to join forces and pressure laggard countries to impose a price on carbon emissions.   In a new paper, the UN-convened Net-Zero Asset Owner Alliance (NZAOA) argued members of a so-called ‘climate club’ could impose carbon border…

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Focus on Outcomes

David Byrns, Portfolio Manager at American Century, explains why transition investing is fundamental to achieving net zero.

While global sustainable investments reached US$30.3 trillion in 2022, at the same time greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions have hit an all-time high. According to the World Meteorological Organization, global averaged concentrations of carbon dioxide, the “most important GHG”, were a full 50% above the pre-industrial era for the first time…

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Options Still Open for Fossil Fuel Engagement

Patience is a virtue when engaging with the oil and gas industry on climate, but opinions are mixed on whether investor efforts are paying off. 

It’s no secret that the oil and gas industry has been slow to act on the climate crisis.   But with the sector accounting for around 15% of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and science dictating that oil and gas demand must peak by 2030, the need for drastic action to…

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Nippon Shareholders Demand Green Steel Plan

LGIM, Amundi and Nordea call for Japanese steel giant to set stricter targets and disclose its climate lobbying activities.

A group of investors has filed resolutions calling on Japanese steelmaker Nippon to overhaul its decarbonisation strategy, challenging the assumption that carbon capture, use and storage (CCUS) can clean up this notoriously dirty industry. British asset manager Legal & General Investment Management (LGIM) co-filed the resolutions with activist groups the…

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Take Five: Green Means Green

A selection of the major stories impacting ESG investors, in five easy pieces. 

European regulators have ratcheted up efforts to eliminate greenwashing from the investment sector.

End of an era I – The fight against greenwashing inched ahead with the release of final guidelines for naming ESG- or sustainability-related funds by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). It had previously been possible to launch an EU environmental opportunities fund, claiming Article 8 classification under the Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR), while allocating as little as 10% of assets to demonstrably green investments. ESMA has now declared that era to be over, with new guidelines and thresholds including a minimum of 80% of investments to meet funds’ environmental or social characteristics, or sustainable investment objectives. Initial reactions suggested the market has welcomed some aspects – such as definitions for what could be included in a fund with an ‘impact’ or ‘transition’ label – but is baffled by others. These include ditching plans to require funds labelled ‘sustainable’ to contain at least 50% sustainable investments as defined by SFDR – due to feedback saying this was too open to discretion – instead opting to introduce a commitment to invest “meaningfully” in sustainable investments – whatever that means.

End of an era II – Until recently, opportunistic portfolio managers could stuff their ‘green’ portfolios with tech stocks to deliver strong returns at relatively little expense to the planet. That scam has long been rumbled, but the gig is definitely up now that Microsoft – which in 2020 pledged to become carbon negative by the end of the decade – has admitted its carbon emissions jumped 30% last year, as it pursued dominance in the AI market. The upsurge – confirmed in the tech giant’s annual sustainability report this week – followed news of a deal with asset manager Brookfield to build 10.5 gigawatts of renewable energy capacity to support its plans to rely solely on clean power sources by 2030. With Microsoft having offered to relocate staff amid rising US-China tensions, its AI strategy might face as many ‘S’ and ‘G’ as ‘E’ headwinds. But a sector-wide power grab seems likely, within the context of wider demand trends, with the International Energy Agency forecasting data centres will double their energy needs to 800 terrawatts by 2026, fuelled by both cryptocurrencies and AI.

Levels of engagement – More evidence was provided this week