Peel Hunt: Reversal of UK economic trends ‘vital’ as M&A contributing to UK equity outflows

UK M&A activity has skyrocketed in the first half of 2024 as 32 transactions of over £100m were announced in the six-month period, placing the UK second behind the US by value globally. Recent large bids for Hargreaves Lansdown, Darktrace and DS Smith are notable contributions to this activity. FTSE ‘paddling sideways’ as dividends propped up by takeovers and buybacks Large-cap companies dominated the transactions list for H1, as 17 of the 32 transactions were FTSE 350 companies, compared to three in the FTSE SmallCap and ten on the Alternative Investment Market. This marks a signi…

Wealth managers eye greater allocation to private markets but regulation remains a hurdle

Around 44% of wealth managers said they expect adopting a portfolio with a 20% allocation to private markets to “deliver greater returns over the long term”. Arcmont AM and Carne Group receive FCA approval for private credit LTAF launch When asked about specific asset classes, wealth managers listed real estate, venture capital, infrastructure and private debt as the sectors with the largest allocations forecasts. This is because Carne Group has forecast a 62% growth in global private market assets from the current $13trn to $21trn by 2030. Additionally, the introduction of inno…

Eurozone inflation inches down to 2.5% in June

The figure is down 0.1% versus the 2.6% recorded in May, the EU agency said. The biggest detractors were food, alcohol and tobacco at 2.5% – down from 2.6% in May – and energy at 0.2% compared with 0.3% the previous month. Dovish Lagarde speech reassures expectations of no consecutive ECB rate cuts Services and non-energy industrial goods inflation, however, remained unchanged in June at 4.1% and 0.7%, respectively. The full inflation data for the euro area will be released on 17 July, Eurostat noted. Richard Flax, chief investment officer at Moneyfarm, stated that despite th…

UK growth to rebound in 2025 as domestic economy ‘turning a corner’

In its latest Global Economic Outlook, KMPG’s chief economist, Yael Selfin, claimed “the UK economy has shown tentative signs of renewed momentum” amid 0.5% growth anticipated this year, rising to 0.9% in 2025. UK GDP grows faster than expected at 0.7% in first quarter of 2024 Falls in inflation in the UK and globally, coupled with increased mergers and acquisitions activity, were two of the reasons cited for this growth. Cuts to National Insurance contributions are also predicted to bolster real household income by 1%, leading to greater consumer confidence and a more broadly opti…

Monks to pay lower annual dividend to boost share buybacks

In its annual report published today (2 July), Monks investment trust chair Karl Sternberg said the NAV growth came on the back of stronger results in the second half of the year. This performance saw a NAV total return of 21.6% at a share price total return of 28.5% compared to 16.6% from the index. The board of the trust said it will pay shareholders 2.1p in dividends this year, which is lower than the 3.15p the year before. This decision was made to enable further buybacks and close the vehicle’s discount trading. Since January 2022, Monks has spent £406m to buy back 39 million in …

Kepler Partners’ William Heathcoat Amory: Investment trusts are key targets for a new breed of wealth manager

As a result, the narrative is they are pulling back from investing in investment trusts, and this is part of the reason that discounts have widened so dramatically across the sector. Consolidation means wealth managers are becoming ever bigger, with last year’s merger of Rathbones and Investec Wealth & Investment UK creating a £100bn+ behemoth. Four Graphs explaining the investment trusts worth buying Assets under management of this scale cause challenges for wealth managers looking to invest in investment trusts, particularly those trusts at the smaller end of the market cap spect…

Best and Worst Performing Active ETFs in 2024 So Far

Active ETFs have become increasingly popular with investors, and several fund houses in Europe are launching new products to capture this demand. But how have such products performed in the first half of 2024?

The active ETF universe is still modest in Europe. According to a Morningstar report from April, these funds account for only 2% of the total ETF assets across the continent. If we include different ETF share classes across multiple currencies, there are 170 active ETFs available to European investors. Of these, 10 have been launched in 2024.

For this review, we are looking at the oldest share class versions where multiple ETFs exist. In some cases, where the oldest share class is unavailable, we have included the share class with a Morningstar Medalist Rating. In the few cases where neither was available, we have selected the highest performer among the currencies.

It is also important to note that the chosen currency for your share class can make a significant difference. For example, the highest-performing active ETF overall, JPM Japan Research Enhanced Equity ESG ETF, is up 22.70% in Japanese yen. However, the oldest share class of the same product, listed in US dollars, has only returned 5.81%. The yen has fallen sharply against the dollar this year, with authorities in Tokyo forced into measures to prop up the Japanese currency.

The top 10 performers are all equity strategies investing across Japan, Europe, US, emerging markets and globally. We also find Europe, emerging markets and global ETFs at the bottom, alongside long/short equity and bonds.

Only 24 active exchange-traded funds had negative returns over the period and six of these were in the double-digits. In contrast, 21 ETFs saw growth higher than 10%.

Beware The ‘Shy-Active’ ETF

While the ETFs highlighted here are more active than their passive counterparts, the recent Morningstar report Active ETFs in Europe: Small, Shy, and on the Rise highlights such vehicles might be less active than you’d expect.

“Most of the active ETFs available in Europe are ‘shy-active’, with lower active share and/or tracking error than similar active open-end funds,” it says. “As a result, investors should moderate their excess returns expectations from such products.”

When looking at the 20 largest equity active ETFs against a category-specific, representative ETF, the analyst team found half of them were less than 50% active (on a historical average).

Which Active ETFs Have Performed Best?

Among the

Pressure Mounts on EU to Delay Deforestation Rules

The EUDR has become a “bureaucratic monster” and must be re-written, says prominent centre-right MEP Peter Liese.

The European Commission is under increasing pressure to delay stringent new anti-deforestation rules, as businesses, lawmakers and foreign governments warn that the requirements would be impossible to comply with. The EU Regulation on Deforestation-free Products (EUDR) would ban the import of certain commodities that have contributed to deforestation anywhere in…

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