Labour manifesto lacks CGT clarity potentially ‘sparking significant concern’

Announcing the manifesto today (13 June) in Manchester, Keir Starmer reiterated that Labour will not raise income tax, National Insurance, VAT and corporation tax, but “did little to dispel speculation that CGT could rise”, according to Myron Jobson, personal finance analyst at interactive investor. Tories reject capital gains tax hike as British ISA proposals absent from manifesto Entrepreneurs, investors and higher rate taxpayers “have already seen their annual exempt allowance slashed by the current Conservative government to just £3,000 a year”, said Rachael Griffin, tax and finan…

BoJ versus MoF: Who will win Japan’s monetary tug-of-war?

The only problem is that a stronger JPY and higher interest rates directly impede the BoJ’s efforts to break for good from Japan’s decade-long disinflationary vicious cycle; price stability is, after all, the BoJ’s primary mandate. Aviva Investors’ Wakefield: Is Japan’s stock-market sugar rush sustainable? For investors’ positioning in the Japanese markets, it is essential to understand how this “conflict” between the MoF and the BoJ eventually plays out. Yen is cheap by any measure The yen looks cheap based on any fundamental metrics. For example, according to the Real Effective…

Fundhouse: ‘Defensive’ corporate communications erode trust

In an open letter to fund groups, Maguire said investment businesses’ usual tack when a fund manager leaves their organisation is to feign indifference, claiming the fund’s process is team-based, with the departing manager engaged in more of a management and client-facing role. “This defensive message may be intended to protect the fund management business, but we believe it has the opposite effect,” Maguire said. M&G’s Fedeli: Taking on the CIO role, ‘the big industry disruptor’ and global opportunities He added that a more upfront communication would be preferable, for example th…

Saudi Aramco signs LNG deal with US developer

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Investors Seek Certainty on Deep-sea Mining

ISA negotiations rumble on in the background, while shareholder dissent and DSM legal challenges are on the rise.  

Despite ongoing regulatory uncertainty, a growing number of investors and NGOs are drawing a line in the sand and challenging companies and governments on deep-sea mining (DSM).   While those in favour of DSM have claimed it is necessary to ensure there are enough critical minerals available to power the energy…

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Wholesale prices unexpectedly fell 0.2% in May

The producer price index, a gauge of prices that producers get for their goods and services in the open market, declined 0.2% for the month against expectations for a 0.1% increase. PPI was held back by a 0.8% decrease in final demand goods prices, which was the largest decline since October 2023. In other economic news, initial claims for unemployment insurance jumped to 242,000 for the week ended June 8. That’s the highest level since August 2023.

A measure of wholesale prices unexpectedly decreased in May, adding another piece of evidence that inflation is pulling back.

The producer price index, a gauge of prices that producers get for their goods and services in the open market, declined 0.2% for the month, the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday. That reversed a 0.5% increase in April and compared with the Dow Jones estimate for a 0.1% rise.

Excluding food, energy and trade services, the PPI was unchanged, compared with expectations for a 0.3% increase.

On an annual basis, the all-items PPI rose 2.2%.

Stock market futures saw some modest gains following the report while Treasury yields moved lower.

The release comes a day after the BLS reported that the consumer price index, a widely watched gauge of inflation that measures what consumers actually pay for goods and services, was unchanged on the month.

From the wholesale perspective, the PPI was held back by a 0.8% decrease in final demand goods prices, which was the largest decline since October 2023. Within the category, the energy index tumbled 4.8%. Food prices fell 0.1%.

On the services side, fuels and lubricants retailing margins surged 12.2%, but that was offset in part by a 4.3% plunge in airline passenger services prices.

The release comes a day after the Federal Reserve noted “modest further progress” in bringing inflation back down to its 2% target, but not enough for the central bank to start lowering interest rates. The Fed has held its benchmark borrowing rate in a targeted range of 5.25%-5.5% since July 2023 as it awaits more evidence that inflation is heading back to the central bank’s 2% target.

In other economic news Thursday, the Labor Department reported that initial claims for unemployment insurance jumped to 242,000 for the week ended June 8. That’s the highest

CNBC

Australia’s Climate Wars Return to Investor Dismay

Division between the country’s main political parties has reopened, with a new fight emerging over 2030 emissions targets.

Investors have condemned an announcement by Australia’s opposition leader, Peter Dutton, that he would abandon the nation’s legally-binding 2030 emissions targets if he forms its next government. The surprise move, which critics say would force Australia out of the Paris Agreement and stall investment in renewable energy, re-ignites a decades-old…

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Treasury Secretary Yellen says U.S. debt load is in ‘reasonable place’ if it remains at this level

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Thursday said the swelling national debt is manageable as long as it stays around where it is relative to the rest of the economy.

In a CNBC interview, Yellen also noted that high interest rates are adding to the burden as the U.S. manages its massive $34.7 trillion debt load.

“If the debt is stabilized relative to the size of the economy, we’re in a reasonable place,” she told CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin during a “Squawk Box” live interview. “The way I look at it is that we should be looking at the real interest cost of the debt. That’s really what the burden is.”

During the 2024 fiscal year, net interest costs on the debt have totaled $601 billion — more than the government has spent on health care or defense and more than four times what it has laid out for education.

Multiple Congressional Budget Office reports have warned about the soaring costs of debt and deficits, cautioning that over the next decade the public share of the national debt — currently about $27.6 trillion — will hit a new record as a share of the total economy over the next decade.

The public share of the national debt as a share of GDP is running at about 97% but is expected to soon top 100% at current spending rates.

Yellen touted President Joe Biden’s plans to manage the situation.

“In the budget the president presented for this coming fiscal year he proposes $3 trillion of deficit reduction over the next decade,” she said. “That’s sufficient to basically keep the debt to income ratio stable, and this interest burden would be stabilized.”

The budget deficit for 2024 is running at $1.2 trillion with four months left in the fiscal year. In 2023, the shortfall totaled $1.7 trillion.

The rising financing costs for the debt have come as the Federal Reserve pushed interest rates higher to bring down an inflation rate that had hit its highest level in more than 40 years in mid-2022. Inflation since has pulled back, but the Fed has held benchmark rates higher as it awaits more evidence that the rate of price increases is moving convincingly back to the central bank’s 2% target.

Following its policy meeting this week, the Fed said it has seen “modest” progress on inflation but is not ready to start reducing rates. Yellen, a

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Stocks making the biggest moves before the bell: Tesla, Broadcom, Dave & Buster’s and more

Russia halts foreign exchange trading as US sanctions sow confusion

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