Buying Bonds for Income? Read This First

Attracted by higher yields, UK income investors have started to embrace buying bonds directly. As part of our special week of content on income investing, we’ve produced this guide to help answer investors’ frequently-asked questions as they make their first steps.

Many UK investment platforms have started to offer direct access to government bonds – alongside their corporate bond offerings. With government bonds, these are being traded in the “secondary market”, so they are bonds already issued. To buy bonds at issue (in the primary market), it’s still possible to buy at the UK government auction run by the Debt Management Office (DMO).

Let’s look at two random bonds for sale on an investment platform: “Treasury 4.75% 07/12/2030”; and “Treasury 0.125% 30/01/2026.” The label describes the issuer (HM Treasury, AKA the UK government), the coupon as a percentage, and the maturity date, which shows when the bond will pay back the capital, a key feature of bonds.

What’s The Difference Between Coupon and Yield?

By way of theoretical example, in the case of “Treasury 4.75% 07/12/2030,” investing at the start of the bond would lock in a payout of £4.75 for each nominal £100 invested (we have used the £100 figure as a round number for simplicity – but if you want to buy bonds in batches of £100 your fund supermarket should allow you to do this!). That’s why it’s called “fixed” income. Buying this 10-year bond at the start secures that 4.75% for the life of the bond (assuming the UK government doesn’t default on its payments). 

But a bond’s yield may vary throughout the term of the bond itself, depending on the price. Yield is the rate of return on the coupon payments, and is normally calculated by dividing the headline coupon payment by the bond’s current market price. Nevertheless, buying this bond, even with six-and-a-half years to maturity, will still provide a payout of £4.75 every year even if the yield is above or below that.

What About Total Return?

Income is a factor in bond returns and these depend on when the bond was purchased and at what price. Read more in our article Want to Buy UK Government Bonds? Be Careful.

When Do Bonds Pay Out?

The convention for bonds is for semi-annual payments; so a £10 coupon will be split into two equal parts in the middle and end of the year. Depending on when

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The Sri Lanka-linked future of macro-linked bonds

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UK Inflation Weakens Case for June Rate Cut

The consumer price index rose by 2.3% in April from a year before, slowing from a 3.2% annual increase in March, according to the Office for National Statistics. While inflation is the lowest since July 2021, CPI was higher than forecast and sticky services inflation suggests the Bank of England may delay the expected June rate cut.

Though inflation was higher than market consensus of 2.1%, which would have been just above the Bank of England’s 2% target, the latest figure is the coolest rate of inflation since July 2021.

Since then, inflation pressure has been robust, with the annual rate hitting a recent peak of 11.1% in October 2022.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.3% in April, after they climbed 0.6% in March from February. The monthly reading topped the consensus of 0.2%, according to FXStreet.

The annual rate of core consumer price growth, so excluding items such as food and energy, cooled to 3.9% in April from 4.2% in March. The figure landed ahead of the consensus of 3.9%.

Numbers from the ONS showed annual services inflation, a gauge on which the BoE has been keeping a close eye, remained stubbornly high at 5.9% in April, easing slightly from 6.0% in March.

Bank of England May Not Cut in June

What do today’s figures mean for the next Bank of England interest rate meeting? At the May meeting, policymakers indicated that an interest rate cut in June is a possibility.

Experts reacted to the latest inflation data.

Tomasz Wieladek, chief European economist at T. Rowe Price, says that another interest rate rise can’t be ruled out.

“Although there is some evidence services inflation is falling gradually, the data today will likely prevent a cut in June. The MPC has repeatedly said services inflation will be an important indicator in understanding if domestically generated inflation is coming down in sustainable manner. The MPC wants to cut rates based on the forecast released in May, but it is still data dependent. The forecast has been revised upwards several times now and the data still surprised the MPC.

“For now, the MPC will try to wait until services inflation comes down, but if it does not, the MPC may have to hike again at some point. The data today clearly show markets were too optimistic about a June cut and remain too optimistic about BoE cuts this year.’

Services sector

Fed officials seem like they have ‘no idea’ what is going on with U.S. inflation, strategist says

Federal Reserve officials appear to have “no idea” what is happening when it comes to the inflation picture in the U.S., GAM’s Julian Howard told CNBC. Policymakers have in recent days and weeks been suggesting that inflation remains too high and has fallen by less than previously expected, urging patience when it comes to interest rate cuts. “Inflation is notoriously difficult to predict and I don’t think they have any real idea what’s happening,” Howard said. The Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve building during a renovation in Washington, DC, US, on Tuesday, Oct. 24, 2023. Valerie Plesch | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Federal Reserve officials appear to have “no idea” what is happening when it comes to the inflation picture in the U.S., according to Julian Howard, lead investment director of multi-asset solutions at GAM.

His comments come as policymakers have in recent weeks been urging patience over interest rate cuts, arguing that inflation has fallen by less than previously expected and is still too sticky for the Fed to press ahead with easing monetary policy.

“I think the message that’s coming through is that they have no idea what’s going on,” Howard said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Wednesday.

The Fed did not immediately respond to a CNBC request for comment.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Tuesday said that he needed to see further data evidence that inflation was softening before supporting rate cuts.

“In the absence of a significant weakening in the labor market, I need to see several more months of good inflation data before I would be comfortable supporting an easing in the stance of monetary policy,” he said at an event at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington.

Waller’s comments were echoed by other Fed officials on Tuesday, including Boston Fed President Susan Collins.

“I think the data has been very mixed … and it’s going to take longer than I had previously thought,” she said at a conference hosted by the Atlanta Federal Reserve. “We’re in a period when patience really matters.”

‘A credibility problem’

But Fed officials have not come out with a clear message about their expectations or to address why inflation remains elevated, GAM’s Howard said.

“Inflation is notoriously difficult

CNBC

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Carlyle Japan Partners V attracted both domestic and international investors. The fund will target upper middle-market opportunities in Japan, focusing on sectors such as technology, media, telecom, consumer, retail, healthcare and general industries. 

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