Permira taps private credit market to help finance $6.9bn Squarespace take-private deal

Website-building platform Squarespace will be taken private by private equity firm Permira in a $6.9bn all-cash transaction, with Ares Capital, Blackstone and Blue Owl providing a $2.65bn private credit package to help finance the acquisition.

Under the terms of the deal, Permira has agreeing to purchase shares at $44 each, approximately 30% more than Squarespace’s unaffected share price.

Blackstone meanwhile, will hold half of the private credit package, which consists of $2.1bn term loan, a $300m delayed draw loan and a $250m revolving credit facility, with Blackstone and Ares and Blue Owl taking a quarter each.

Squarespace’s founder and CEO Anthony Casalena, along with current investors Accel and General Atlantic, who control 90% of Squarespace’s voting shares, have approved the transaction. They will remain investors following completion of the deal.

Squarespace has faced challenges in gaining support in the public market in recent years, with its shares opening below the reference price of $50 in 2021 and never trading above the opening price of $48.

The company’s shares increased by nearly 13% to $43 per share in pre-market trading.

Squarespace’s decision to go private follows the spin-off of Qualtrics from SAP in 2021, later going private again in 2023 with Canada’s pension plan and Silver Lake in a deal worth $12.5bn. Similarly, Japanese electronics multinational company Toshiba also went private in 2023 in a deal worth $13.6bn, following years of speculation including engagement with activist investor Elliott Investment Management.

Centerview, JP Morgan, Skadden and Richards, Layton & Finger advised Squarespace while Goldman Sachs and Latham & Watkins advised Permira.

What Higher Inflation Means for Stock and Bond Correlations

In our recently published 2024 Diversification Landscape report, Christine Benz, Karen Zaya, and I took a deep dive into how different asset classes performed in the past couple of years, how correlations¹ have evolved, and what those changes mean for investors and financial advisors trying to build well-diversified portfolios. We also looked at correlation trends during periods of rising interest rates, elevated inflation, and economic recessions.

One key finding: higher inflation usually leads to closer links between stocks and bonds, reducing the benefit of including both in a portfolio. 

The resurgence in inflation that started in May 2021 made market conditions much more challenging. Supply chain disruptions, a tight labour market, the war in Ukraine, and strong economic growth all conspired to push up inflation from its previously benign levels. The year-over-year change in consumer prices rose to more than 7% by the end of 2021 and reached as high as 9% by mid-2022. Inflationary pressures eased during 2023, but inflation remained above the Federal Reserve’s stated target of 2%.

Higher inflation marked a sharp reversal from the previous regime. For most of the previous 30 years, conditions were unusually benign from an inflation perspective. Aside from a brief increase in the mid-2000s, inflation had generally been running well below its long-term historical average of about 3.2%. Cooler-than-average inflation, in turn, created close to ideal conditions for stock/bond correlations. With inflation mostly a nonissue, stocks and bonds moved largely independently; in fact, rolling three-year correlations between stocks and bonds were consistently negative (or barely above zero) from November 2000 through 2020.

A Sharp Increase in Correlation

With those conditions now a distant memory, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that correlations between stocks and bonds have sharply increased. Correlations between stocks and bonds edged into positive territory in 2021 and jumped up to 0.58 for the full year in both 2022 and 2023.

The recent uptrend in correlations has been unusually dramatic but not unprecedented. As I discussed in my previous article, the stock/bond correlation has often been positive over multiyear periods. For example, the trailing three-year correlation coefficients between the two asset classes were consistently above zero from August 1966 through August 1974. Stock/bond correlations were also consistently positive from October 1974 until late 2000.

We also looked at correlations over specific periods of higher inflation, generally defined as periods when year-over-year inflation increased by at least 5% and remained high for at

Cooling UK labour market keeps hope of summer rate cuts alive

The UK unemployment rate estimates rose to 4.3% in Q1 2024, up from 3.8% seen in the previous quarter, according to data from the Office for National Statistics. Overall, the employment rate has fallen to 74.5%, down against the previous year and quarter, while economic inactivity has increased to 22.1%. BoE forecasts UK GDP will continue to grow despite elevated interest rates Vacancies were down by 26,000 in the three months to April to 898,000, the 22nd consecutive period of decline. However, the figure remained above pre-Covid levels of job openings, the ONS said. Despite th…

Anglo American plans breakup following rejection of £34bn BHP bid

As part of the split, diamond company De Beers is set to be divested or demerged, while the group also plans to split off its platinum and steelmaking coal business as it explores options for its nickel arm. Investment Association urges FCA to retain shareholder protections in revamped listings regime The move will result in Anglo American focusing its efforts on copper, premium iron ore and crop nutrients, with proceeds from the split used to shore up its balance sheet. The group has highlighted three key benefits resulting from the split: undiluted shareholder participation in a …

Anglo American plans break-up after rejecting £34bn BHP bid

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Investors beware: BDCs show stress in private credit

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T+1 will not be a ‘slam dunk’ for ETFs, industry insiders warn

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The exchange traded fund industry faces a perfect storm on May 28 when the US cuts trade settlement times — with the transition occurring over a public holiday weekend and amid a series of major index rebalancings.

Gerard Walsh, who heads Northern Trust’s global banking and markets client solutions group, said he was having urgent last-minute talks with asset management clients, some of whom still seemed oblivious to the looming task at hand.

“Our key thing at Northern Trust is we’re talking to as many people as we possibly can to at least raise awareness of the fact that this is not a slam dunk. This is not going to be something that has limited-to-no-impact on portfolio managers in the front office,” he said.

The US Securities and Exchange Commission said in February 2023 that it would require trades to settle one day after trade agreement (known as T+1, a change from the current T+2 regime) by May 28, but Walsh is among industry figures who say this has not given the ETF industry enough time to thoroughly assess and prepare for all the risks.

Walsh pointed out that most ETFs are passive index trackers and will therefore have no choice but to trade in their underlying constituents in order to align themselves with the forthcoming index changes.

“I seem to have been the only one worrying about ETF trading, but I’ve seen lots and lots and lots of people pick up on it in the last month,” he added.

The choice of transition date might seem particularly ill advised. Announcements of the Russell Annual Reconstitution and the semi-annual rebalancing of the FTSE All World index will be made after the US market closes on May 24, which is also the last day that the US will trade on T+2.

The US then heads into a long weekend, but Canada and Mexico will move to T+1 on Monday, May 27 (a public holiday not only in the US but also in the UK).

When the US reopens on May 28, settlement staff will still be dealing with the last trades from Friday on the old T+2 schedule and any outstanding problems from the Canada and Mexico moves. However, at the same time they will be hit by a tidal wave of new T+1 orders due to the

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Basel war on window-dressing may smooth liquidity, at a price

The debate around banks shrinking some of their higher-velocity assets at year-end to reduce their regulatory capital requirements has been going on so long, some national regulators have already decided to act on it. Now the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision is catching up.

Proposed changes, which would specifically apply to global systemically important banks (G-Sibs), may improve year-end liquidity in short-dated instruments that are heavy on the balance sheet – especially repo markets –

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