Was the Archegos implosion illegal?

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Three years ago, chaos struck Wall Street. Companies saw their share prices tumble, seemingly out of nowhere. Major banks lost billions of dollars in the fallout. Eventually, that chaos was linked to a family office, Archegos Capital Management, and its founder Bill Hwang.

This week, Hwang heads to trial in New York, where he faces charges including racketeering, and securities and wire fraud. The FT’s US legal correspondent Joe Miller examines the “novel” case prosecutors plan to pursue.

Clips from CNBC, Fox Business

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For further reading:

‘To what end?’: the murky question of Bill Hwang’s motive in Archegos trial

Archegos founder’s charity was financial ‘escape pod’, suit alleges

Hedge funds and brokers take aim at post-Archegos trading reforms

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On X, follow Joe Miller (@JoeMillerJr) and Michela Tindera (@mtindera07), or follow Michela on LinkedIn for updates about the show and more.

Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com

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Basel Committee reviewing design of liquidity ratios

Basel Committee reviewing design of liquidity ratios – Risk.net End of drawer navigation content Skip to main content

Focus on LCR and NSFR after Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse, but assumptions may not change

BIS tower, home to the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision is reviewing the regulatory liquidity ratios applied to banks, Risk.net understands, in the wake of dramatic deposit outflows seen last year at some US regional banks and at Credit Suisse. That could lead to a change in some of the assumptions used in the Basel international standards – but regulators could equally decide no further action is required, especially given the sensitivity of discussions around retail deposit insurance.

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Traders bet against sterling in belief BoE will cut rates by summer

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Investors have been building up bets against the pound, as conviction grows that the Bank of England will start cutting interest rates by the summer, ahead of its US counterpart.

Currency speculators’ wagers on a fall in sterling have reached a 16-month high, data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission shows. Meanwhile, asset managers have turned the most bearish on the UK currency since March last year, according to State Street, one of the world’s largest custodian banks.

The shift in positioning, driven by falling UK inflation and weak economic data, has helped push the pound down 1.5 per cent against the dollar this year. Investors now expect the BoE, which announces its latest rate decision on Thursday, to cut earlier and faster than the Federal Reserve.

“Everyone thought central banks would move together and now that assumption has been challenged,” said Michael Metcalfe, head of macro strategy at State Street. “Investors are going underweight sterling as the UK looks on track to ease ahead of the Fed.”

As recently as March, when data still showed UK inflation running ahead of the US, investors had clung on to bets that the Fed would cut rates ahead of the BoE.

But stronger than expected US economic data has left traders pricing in the probability of a Fed rate cut by late July at only one-third, compared with a near-50 per cent chance of a BoE cut by June. A drop in UK interest rates by August 1 is almost fully priced in by markets.

The change in expectations has come as US headline inflation rose to a higher than expected 3.5 per cent in March from 3.1 per cent in January. Over the same period, UK inflation dipped from 4 per cent to 3.2 per cent, twice undershooting expectations this year.

Traders are betting the BoE will deliver at least two quarter point rate cuts by the end of the year. That compares with just one or two cuts priced in for the Fed, even after weak US labour figures on Friday helped ease investors’ concerns about consumer price rises.

“Inflation hasn’t met the Fed’s target and doesn’t look like it will any time soon, so the Fed is on hold,” said Roger Hallam, global head of rates at Vanguard, adding that, in spite of last week’s jobs figures, economic data

Where the World’s Aluminum is Smelted, by Country

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May 7, 2024 Graphics/Design:

See this visualization first on the Voronoi app.

Aluminum Smelter Production in 2023

This was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on iOS or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources.

This infographic shows estimated aluminum smelter production by country in 2023, based on data from the most recent U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Mineral Commodity Summaries, published in January 2024 .

From this data, we can see that China leads as the top producer, accounting for nearly 60% of the world’s smelter capacity. Its neighbor India is the second-largest producer, making only a tenth of China’s output.

Country2023 Aluminum Smelter Production (tonnes)% of total 🇨🇳 China41,000,00059% 🇮🇳 India4,100,0006% 🇷🇺 Russia3,800,0005% 🇨🇦 Canada3,000,0004% 🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates2,700,0004% 🇧🇭 Bahrain1,600,0002% 🇦🇺 Australia1,500,0002% 🇳🇴 Norway1,300,0002% 🇧🇷 Brazil1,100,0002% 🌍 Rest of the World9,460,00014% Total69,560,000100%

Responsible for 5% of global aluminum output, Russia has been targeted by recent sanctions from the U.S. and the UK.

The sanctions include prohibiting metal-trading exchanges from accepting new aluminum produced by Russia and barring the import of the Russian metal into the U.S. and Britain. The actions are aimed at disrupting Russian export revenue amid Moscow’s ongoing invasion of Ukraine.

The World’s Most Common Metal

Aluminum is the primary material used for making cans, foil, and many other products. It originates from bauxites, rocks composed of aluminum oxides, and various minerals.

Approximately 25% of annually produced aluminum is utilized by the construction industry, while another 23% is allocated to vehicle frames, wires, wheels, and other components within the transportation sector. Aluminum foil, cans, and packaging constitute another significant end-use category, accounting for 17% of consumption.

Despite its extensive use, aluminum is still plentiful. Aluminum is the world’s most common metal by crustal abundance, making up 8.2% of the Earth’s crust.

According to the USGS, global resources of bauxite are estimated to be between 55 billion and 75 billion tonnes and are sufficient to meet world demand for metal well into the future.

Most FTX account holders will get their money back after bankruptcy

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Nearly all account holders of the bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX are in line to receive cash worth more than 100 per cent of their official claims, according to a plan of reorganisation filed in court on Tuesday night.

FTX said it had gathered roughly $15bn, mostly from selling venture capital investments made by the exchange and its trading affiliate Alameda Research. The sum is enough to pay 118 cents on the dollar to the 98 per cent of creditors who hold $50,000 or less in claims.

The remaining creditors will receive at least 100 cents on the dollar.

FTX collapsed in November 2022, leaving a hole in customer accounts worth billions of dollars. The failure shook the cryptocurrency industry and led to the conviction of founder Sam Bankman-Fried on fraud charges. Bankman-Fried was sentenced to 25 years in federal prison.

John Ray III, who took the helm of FTX after it filed for bankruptcy, on Tuesday said: “We are pleased to be in a position to propose a Chapter 11 plan that contemplates the return of 100 per cent of bankruptcy claim amounts plus interest for non-governmental creditors.”

Ray publicly described the FTX enterprise he took over as a “dumpster fire” and “crime scene” amid allegations that Bankman-Fried had plundered customer accounts for lavish personal spending and trading, a scheme that collapsed as digital asset prices lost steam during the 2022 “crypto winter”.

FTX noted the recent sharp rally in crypto prices have not driven the expected big recoveries for account holders. Rather, it said about 99 per cent of the bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies believed to have been on the exchange at the time of the bankruptcy filing were missing, leaving the recovery pool largely filled by the proceeds from the company’s investment portfolio.

Among FTX’s most attractive assets was a stake in AI start-up Anthropic, whose shares it sold for nearly $900mn this year. FTX said assets converted into cash will total between $14.5bn and $15.8bn.

The plan of reorganisation had landed the support of all FTX’s major creditor constituencies and included a $200mn cash settlement of a $24bn claim made against the group by the Internal Revenue Service, the US tax collection agency.

After the bankruptcy court approves the newly proposed plan, claimants are to vote on the terms before the court holds a