How to Invest in Gold Right Now

Last month the spot price of gold reached an all-time high at $2,431 an ounce. Since then, the value of bullion has fallen slightly to around $2,300, a range that is still historically high, yielding about 25% over the past seven months.

“Gold has already metabolised the Federal Reserve’s expected downsizing of its monetary policy easing outlook for 2024, yet it is continuing its upward trajectory,” explained Ned Naylor-Leyland, manager of Jupiter AM Gold & Silver fund.

“This suggests that other factors are at play, such as the return of significant demand for physical gold, particularly from China and the Middle East. This wave of physical buying could be driven by a confluence of reasons, including inflationary concerns and rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.”

Curiously, $15.6 billion of client funds flowed out of precious metals exchange-traded funds (ETCs) over the past year, most recently at a monthly all-time-high rate in April. Amid such profit-taking, those investment vehicles clearly aren’t the drivers of globally elevated gold prices. 

Who is Buying All this Gold?

China has become one of the most important gold buyers in the world. The China Gold Association (CGA) reported that the country’s gold consumption in 2023 amounted to almost 1,090 tonnes, an increase of 8.73% year-on-year. Another indicator of overall gold demand in China, the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE), reported a 95% year-on-year increase in demand in January 2024.

“Behind the record demand from China, an interesting demographic shift is taking place,” Ned Naylor-Leyland continued in his April 30 report. “Younger buyers, aged 25-34, have increased their share of total gold purchases from 16% to 59% in 2023. The decline in the stock market and local property values has contributed to the rise of the younger generation, but it is the form of investment that indicates the true nature of the demographic shift. Younger buyers in China are choosing to buy one-gram gold grains to preserve wealth for the long term.”

Such high demand may be confined to Asia for longer. According to co-founder of Flossbach von Storch Bert Flossbach, in the US, “the real interest rate on inflation-linked bonds is +2% and would have to fall significantly to make gold attractive again to US investors as an inflation hedge.”

On April 22, Flossbach wrote that “it is not possible to make serious predictions about the gold price. Over the past ten years, investors have enjoyed an annual increase in the

UK City minister defends right of government to question FCA’s actions

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City minister Bim Afolami has defended the right of the government to question the actions of the Financial Conduct Authority, adding there was no danger that Downing Street was politicising the UK’s main financial watchdog.

“Ultimately regulators are only there by acts of government or acts of parliament, or both,” Afolami told the Financial Times Crypto and Digital Assets Summit on Wednesday.

“It’s really important that we accept that regulators operate under the umbrella that parliament has set,” he said, adding that independent watchdogs were “not at the level of judges”.

His comments follow an intervention by Jeremy Hunt last week when the chancellor warned the regulator against its plan to name companies under investigation more frequently, before any finding of wrongdoing, urging it to “re-look” at its decision.

Asked on Wednesday whether the chancellor’s intervention risked politicising the watchdog or undermining the UK’s reputation for regulatory stability, Afolami said: “No, I don’t think that’s a danger.

“It is perfectly legitimate for the chancellor, or indeed anybody else, to say: ‘in this instance, we’d like you to think again,’” he said.

Late last year, Afolami called on the FCA to allow more risk-taking in the sectors it regulates and he told the audience on Wednesday that its progress towards that objective was “mixed”.

He said the regulator’s approach risked putting off international investors. “Stop focusing on things that are non-core like naming and shaming, and this diversity consultation,” he said, referring to an FCA consultation on measures to boost diversity and inclusion at regulated companies.

“That sort of thing means that the signal to international investors . . . is that the regulator still doesn’t get it,” he said, adding that the FCA needed to “stop doing things like that”.

But he said it was important not to “prejudge” the FCA’s work to adapt to a new secondary objective of promoting the UK’s economic growth and international competitiveness, which it was given by ministers last year.

Afolami said the government wanted to see the crypto industry flourish in Britain by creating a “sensible regulatory framework” and said the sector was a “legitimate part of the financial system” despite scandals at companies such as FTX.

Afolami rejected concerns raised by former FCA chair Charles Randell that the government’s approach would bring “retail crypto speculation firmly into the mainstream” even though

Julius Baer International makes Pictet hire to boost markets advisory offering

Working closely with the markets team in Zurich, Lupi will identify a strategy to build and broaden the firm’s markets offering, ranging from derivatives and securities to foreign exchange and structured products.  Lupi joins the firm from Pictet’s London office, where he was in charge of global market trading. He joined the Swiss firm in 2011 as a senior managing director, based in Singapore. Jefferies reiterates ‘Buy’ rating for Julius Baer on rebound potential “I am thrilled to join Julius Baer International in this new role as the company continues to sharpen the personalised o…

Equity funds inflows soar fivefold during ISA season

Cumulative inflows during ISA season (15 February to 5 April, inclusive) hit £5.2bn, up from £981m the same time last year.  April marked the thirteenth highest inflows level in Calastone’s records and followed a record quarter for equity fund subscriptions, which reached £7bn in the first quarter of 2024. Interest in North American equities remained high, with net inflows reaching £1.2bn, the fourth-best month on record. Investor optimism also spread to global and European equities, which took in £1.5bn and £471m, respectively. Equity funds take majority of sustainable inflows in …

Uncle Sam wants you . . . to buy green bonds?

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Hello from New York. About $2.6tn of green bonds have been issued by countries and companies all over the world. But the world’s biggest bond issuer — the US government — has been noticeably absent from the green bond party. Is that about to change?

Also today, with renewable power purchase agreements surging, Simon looks at the increasingly urgent debate over how companies should account for them in their books.

Thanks for reading. — Patrick Temple-West

What does diversity and inclusion really mean in a modern workforce — and what is the right approach for companies to take towards these issues? That’s the focus of our next deep-dive Moral Money Forum report, featuring valuable insights from readers. Have your say by completing this short survey.

Sustainable finance Major banks recommend US Treasury issues green bonds

In 1942, Bugs Bunny danced and sang on movie screens to encourage Americans to buy US Treasury war bonds. (The clip of the jingle is here. I won’t judge you for watching it at work, if you don’t judge me for how I procrastinate.)

Irving Berlin wrote Bugs’s song at the request of Treasury secretary Henry Morgenthau Jr as part of a celebrity-soaked propaganda campaign to fund the war. Incredibly, 85mn people — more than half the US population — had bought war bonds by the time the second world war ended.

War bonds were revisited after the 9/11 terrorist attacks when the US issued special “patriot bonds” to fund the war on terror. Clearly, the US has a history of issuing special-purpose debt — typically for war.

Now, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup and other global financial companies have recommended that the Treasury department consider issuing its first ever green bonds. In a report last week, a Treasury borrowing advisory committee comprised of financial companies noted that the US was the only major developed country that had not issued green bonds. The UK, for example, had issued $65bn. 

More than half the US population bought war bonds during the second world war © AP

By issuing green bonds, the Treasury could tap into a pool of investors, such as

Kepler Partners’ Alan Ray: Reports of investment trusts’ demise are greatly exaggerated

One thing I have learned in my career is that the day you relax and walk into work thinking ‘I have got this’ is the day that things start to unravel. That is not at all meant to be a bleak assessment of the world of work, and it is equally important not to spend one’s career in a permanent state of paranoia. But a little bit of stress can be quite invigorating, no? The investment trust sector had its own ‘I have got this’ moment in 2022, when interest rates finally rose around the world and while the most obvious effect was felt in those trusts we loosely refer to as alternatives, eq…

Schroders places European Alpha Plus fund under review as underperformance lingers

In its assessment of value (AoV) report, the asset manager noted “disappointing” portfolio performance over the past year, influenced by stock selection and market-relative positioning dragging on performance. The biggest detractors to relative performance were small and mid-sized companies, with key underperforming stocks including Worldline, Hellofresh, DoBank and Ubisoft. Recession fears in Europe also resulted in “larger outflows than usual” from European equities. As such, the viability of the fund is currently under review and Schroders said it is in the process of “determining …

Investor enthusiasm drops in signature Trump economic programme

Money is drying up for one of the signature US economic development programmes of the Trump administration, as investors balk at inflation, higher interest rates and the looming expiry of a lucrative tax benefit.

Then-president Donald Trump signed so-called Opportunity Zones into law in 2017 as part of broad tax legislation. The zones, which had bipartisan support, were designed to attract private investors to economically distressed areas by allowing them to defer taxes on capital gains.

Investors are now hesitating. Opportunity Zone funds received $229mn in equity investment inflows in the first quarter, down by two-thirds from $682mn the same quarter a year before, according to Novogradac, an accounting firm that tracks the industry. The funds raised $3.5bn in the full year 2023, compared with $9.7bn in 2022.

There are “an awful lot of projects under water right now”, said Robert Hutchins, founder of the New Jersey-based OZ fund Ellavoz Impact Capital. He said he was getting “no less than” 10 calls or emails a week from cash-strapped peers that were “stuck and need more money”, compared with almost zero a year ago.

More than 1,400 opportunity funds have attracted at least $38bn in equity investment, according to Novogradac. They invest in projects ranging from multi-family housing to shopping centres to hotels, and have built up to 700,000 homes since the programme began in 2018.

The programme came under scrutiny early in its life for investing in luxury condominiums and giving tax benefits to the rich without adequately helping low-income communities. Charitable foundations were among the first to back out.

“I don’t think it is a good public policy to craft our tax code around delivering personalised and niche investment vehicles for ultra-high net worth individuals,” said Aaron Seybert, managing director of the Social Investment Practice at the Kresge Foundation, which stopped making new commitments to the programme after providing a $15mn financial guarantee for an OZ fund in 2019.

Stubborn inflation and higher interest rates are to blame for the recent slowdown in funding, industry insiders said, because they burdened opportunity funds with a surge in construction and capital costs.

Robert Silverman, managing partner at LJJ Fund, a New York-based opportunity fund, said the low interest rate environment during the first few years of the programme “fuelled an enormous amount of people entering this space”, as they had access to the cheapest construction loans they had “ever been able to take

British neobank Monzo boosts funding round to $610 million to crack U.S. market, launch pensions

British neobank Monzo told CNBC it raised another $190 million from investors including Hedosophia and CapitalG, Alphabet’s independent growth fund. The latest funding boost Monzo’s total funding this year to $610 million and values the business at $5.2 billion post-money. TS Anil, CEO of Monzo, told CNBC his firm plans to use the cash to build new products and accelerate its international expansion plans. Monzo CEO TS Anil.

British neobank Monzo said Wednesday that it’s raised another $190 million, lifting the total it’s raised so far this year to $610 million.

The company told CNBC it raised the cash from new investors including Hedosophia, a backer of top European fintechs including N26 and Qonto. CapitalG, Alphabet’s independent growth fund, also participated in the round.

Singaporean sovereign wealth fund GIC also participated in Monzo’s latest fundraise, a source familiar with the matter told CNBC. The source spoke on the condition of anonymity as details of GIC’s involvement aren’t yet public.

GIC declined to comment.

The latest funding values Monzo at roughly $5.2 billion, an increase on the $5 billion valuation it attained in March when it raised $430 million. The total $610 million round marks the single-biggest funding round for a European fintech in the past year, according to Dealroom data.

TS Anil, CEO of Monzo, told CNBC his firm plans to use the cash to build new products and accelerate its international expansion plans.

“At the heart of it we are a mission-oriented company that’s looking to build the single place where people can meet all of their financial needs,” Anil told CNBC in an exclusive interview.

“What’s exciting to me is that, as we pursue that mission of changing people’s relationship with money, we’ve built a business model that is congruent with that as well, with this model that is built entirely around the customer.”

Monzo entered the black for the first time last year, hitting profitability following the end of its 2023 fiscal year. Anil said Monzo’s looking to ramp up profits with diversification into other income generators, like lending and savings.

Notably, Anil said that Monzo’s planning to launch its first pensions product in the next six to nine months.

That would put it in competition with traditional lenders including Barclays

CNBC

The Best-Performing ETFs of the Month

Exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, are often low-cost instruments for investors to track popular indexes or leverage experienced manager choices in an attempt to beat the market. The best ones serve as building blocks for a portfolio, and unlike open-end funds, all ETFs are traded throughout the day on an exchange.

In April 2024, the top-performing ETFs included Turkey equity funds Amundi MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF (TUR) and iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF (IDTK). Data in this article is sourced from Morningstar Direct.

To find the month’s best-performing ETFs, we screened those in Morningstar’s Equity, Allocation, or Fixed-Income categories that are available in the UK. We excluded exchange-traded notes, known as ETNs, and ETFs with less than $25 million (£20.0 million) in total assets. We also excluded funds that fall into Morningstar’s “trading” categories, as these funds are designed for active traders and are not suitable for long-term investors.

Within our list, two funds fell into the Turkey equity category, where the average fund rose 15.94% in April.

The 10 Best-Performing ETFs for April 2024

1. Amundi MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF (TUR)
2. iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF (IDTK)
3. Global X Silver Miners UCITS ETF (SILV)
4. Global X Copper Miners UCITS ETF (COPX)
5. iShares Copper Miners UCITS ETF (COPM)
6. Market Access NYSE Arca Gold BUSIndex UCITS ETF (M9SD)
7. Invesco STOXX Europe 600 Optimised Basic Resources UCITS ETF (SC0W)
8. iShares STOXX Europe 600 Basic Resources UCITS ETF (DE) (EXV6)
9. Xtrackers FTSE China 50 UCITS ETF (XX2D)
10. iShares China Large Cap UCITS ETF (FXC)

Metrics for the Best-Performing ETFs

Amundi MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF

• Morningstar Rating: ★★
• Ongoing Charge: 0.45%
• Morningstar Category: Turkey Equity

The £57 million Amundi MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF was the best-performing ETF in April, with a 15.45% return. The passively managed Amundi ETF performed roughly in line with the 15.94% gain on the average fund in Morningstar’s Turkey equity category for the month. Over the last 12 months, the Amundi MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF has returned 46.21%, underperforming the 48.61% gain on the average fund in its category, leaving the ETF in the 50th percentile.

The Amundi MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF has a Morningstar Medalist Rating of Neutral. It was launched in March 2019.

iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF

• Morningstar Rating: ★
• Ongoing Charge: 0.74%
• Morningstar Category: Turkey Equity

The second-best-performing ETF in April was the £93 million iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF. The passively managed iShares ETF returned 15.20%, roughly